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National Population Projections - Series PP2

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National population projections are prepared by the Office for National Statistics on behalf of the National Statistician and the Registrars General of Scotland and Northern Ireland. The assumptions are agreed in liaison with the devolved administrations, following consultation with key users of projections in each country and advice from an expert academic advisory panel.

National population projections by age and sex are produced for the UK and its constituent countries every two years. The projections are based on the most recently available mid-year population estimates and a set of underlying demographic assumptions regarding fertility, mortality and migration. They are not forecasts and do not attempt to predict the impact that future government policies, changing economic circumstances or other factors might have on demographic behaviour.



National Population Projections, 2020-based interim
National Population Projections, 2020-based interim is in stock now

In Paperback Format
National Population Projections, 2020-based interim
Series PP2 Number 33. Including CD-ROM of data

£30.00
ISBN
9781804920008
Author
Office for National Statistics (ONS)
Published by
Dandy Booksellers Ltd
Publication Date
18 May 2022
Edition
2020 (No 33)
Publisher's Ref
Series PP2 No 33
Format
Paperback
Extent
83 pages plus CD-ROM
Dimensions
A4 (210 x 297 mm)
Trade Tariff Code
490199

The potential future population size of the UK and its constituent countries. These statistics are widely used in planning, for example, fiscal projections, health, education and pensions.

Main points
  • The population of the UK is projected to increase by 3.2% in the first 10 years of the projections, from an estimated 67.1 million in mid-2020 to 69.2 million in mid-2030.
  • England's population is projected to grow more quickly than the other UK nations: 3.5% between mid-2020 and mid-2030, compared with 2.6% for Wales, 2.0% for Northern Ireland and 0.3% for Scotland.
  • UK population growth over the next 10 years is projected to be driven by a net 2.2 million people migrating into the country.
  • There will be an increasing number of older people; the number of people aged 85 years and over was estimated to be 1.7 million in 2020 (2.5% of the UK population) and this is projected to almost double to 3.1 million by 2045 (4.3% of the UK population).
  • Over the next 10 years, there is projected to be a total of 59,000 more deaths than births; this reflects lower projected fertility rates for all countries and an increasing number of older people as those born in the baby boom generations after World War Two and in the 1960s reach older ages.
  • The projected UK population growth is slower than in the 2018-based projections; the projected population is 0.6 million fewer in mid-2030 and 1.8 million fewer in mid-2045.
 


National Population Projections, 2018-based
National Population Projections, 2018-based is in stock now

In Paperback Format
National Population Projections, 2018-based

£30.00
ISBN
9781839720109
Author
Office for National Statistics (ONS)
Published by
Dandy Booksellers Ltd
Publication Date
2 December 2019
Edition
2018 (No 32)
Publisher's Ref
Series PP2 No 32
Format
Paperback
Extent
104 pages plus CD-ROM
Dimensions
A4 (210 x 297 mm)
Trade Tariff Code
490199

The potential future population size of the UK and its constituent countries. This is widely used in planning, for example, fiscal projections, health, education and pensions.

Main points
  • The population of the UK is projected to increase by 3.0 million (4.5%) in the first 10 years of the projections, from an estimated 66.4 million in mid 2018 to 69.4 million in mid 2028.
  • England’s population is projected to grow more quickly than the other UK nations: 5.0% between mid 2018 and mid 2028, compared with 3.7% for Northern Ireland, 1.8% for Scotland and 0.6% for Wales.
  • Over the next 10 years, 27% of UK population growth is projected to result from more births than deaths, with 73% resulting from net international migration; although net migration falls during this period, the number of deaths rises as those born in the baby boom after World War Two reach older ages.
  • The UK population is projected to pass 70 million by mid 2031, reaching 72.4 million by 25 years into the projection (mid 2043).
  • There will be an increasing number of older people; the proportion aged 85 years and over is projected to almost double over the next 25 years.
  • The UK population growth rate is slower than in the 2016-based projections; the projected population is 0.4 million less in mid 2028 and 0.9 million less in mid 2043.
 


National Population Projections - 2016 based No.31


In Paperback Format
National Population Projections - 2016 based No.31

£35.00
ISBN
9781787321311
Author
Office for National Statistics (ONS)
Published by
Dandy Booksellers Ltd
Publication Date
13 November 2017
Edition
No. 31
Publisher's Ref
Series PP2 No 31
Format
Paperback
Extent
135 pages
Dimensions
A4 (210 x 297 mm)
Trade Tariff Code
490199

National population projections provide an indication of the future size and age structure of the UK and its constituent countries based on a set of assumptions of future fertility, mortality and migration.

Main points
  • The UK population is projected to increase by 3.6 million (5.5%) over the next 10 years, from an estimated 65.6 million in mid-2016 to 69.2 million in mid-2026.
  • England is projected to grow more quickly than the other UK nations: 5.9% between mid-2016 and mid-2026, compared with 4.2% for Northern Ireland, 3.2% for Scotland and 3.1% for Wales.
  • Over the next 10 years, 46% of UK population growth is projected to result from more births than deaths, with 54% resulting from net international migration.
  • The UK population is projected to pass 70 million by mid-2029 and be 72.9 million in mid-2041.
  • There will be an increasing number of older people; the proportion aged 85 and over is projected to double over the next 25 years.
  • The UK population growth rate is slower than in the 2014-based projections; the projected population is 0.6 million less in mid-2026 and 2.0 million less in mid-2041.
 


National Population Projections - 2014 based No.30


In Paperback Format
National Population Projections - 2014 based No.30

£35.00
ISBN
9781785840722
Author
Office for National Statistics (ONS)
Published by
Dandy Booksellers Ltd
Publication Date
11 November 2015
Edition
No. 30
Publisher's Ref
Series PP2 No 30
Format
Paperback
Extent
178 pages
Dimensions
A4 (210 x 297 mm)
Trade Tariff Code
490199

This bulletin presents the main findings from the 2014-based national population projections. These replace the 2012-based projections published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) in November 2013 and are based on the population at 30 June 2014. The national projections are produced by the ONS on behalf of the National Statistician and the Registrars General of Scotland and Northern Ireland.

National population projections by age and sex are produced for the UK and its constituent countries every 2 years. The projections are based on the most recently available mid-year population estimates and a set of underlying demographic assumptions regarding future fertility, mortality and migration.

Main points
  • The UK population is projected to increase by 9.7 million over the next 25 years from an estimated 64.6 million in mid-2014 to 74.3 million in mid-2039.
  • The UK population is projected to reach 70 million by mid-2027.
  • Assumed net migration accounts for 51% of the projected increase over the next 25 years, with natural increase (more births than deaths) accounting for the remaining 49% of growth.
  • Over the 10 year period to mid-2024, the UK population is projected to increase by 4.4 million to 69.0 million. This is 249,000 higher than the previous (2012-based) projection for that year.
  • The population is projected to continue ageing, with the average (median) age rising from 40.0 years in 2014 to 40.9 years in mid-2024 and 42.9 by mid-2039.
  • By mid-2039, more than 1 in 12 of the population is projected to be aged 80 or over.
 


National Population Projections - 2012 based No.29


In Paperback Format
National Population Projections - 2012 based No.29

£35.00
ISBN
9781909620421
Author
Office for National Statistics (ONS)
Published by
Dandy Booksellers Ltd
Publication Date
22 November 2013
Edition
No. 29
Format
Paperback
Dimensions
A4 (210 x 297 mm)
Trade Tariff Code
490199

This bulletin presents the key findings from the 2012-based national population projections. These are based on the estimated population at 30 June 2012, and include results from the 2011 Census. They replace the 2010-based projections published by ONS in October 2011. The national projections are produced by the Office for National Statistics on behalf of the National Statistician and the Registrars General of Scotland and Northern Ireland.

National population projections by age and sex are produced for the UK and its constituent countries every two years. The projections are based on the most recently available mid-year population estimates and a set of underlying demographic assumptions regarding future fertility, mortality and migration. They are not forecasts and do not attempt to predict the impact that future government policies, changing economic circumstances or other factors might have on demographic behaviour, for example, government policies on immigration or student fees. 



Online Shop | Office for National Statistics (ONS) |  National Population Projections - Series PP2

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